{"id":137461,"date":"2019-01-24T08:13:48","date_gmt":"2019-01-24T07:13:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/?p=137461"},"modified":"2019-01-24T08:13:57","modified_gmt":"2019-01-24T07:13:57","slug":"la-competition-au-seuil-des-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/la-competition-au-seuil-des-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"La comp\u00e9tition au seuil des \u00e9lections"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Interview\u00e9 \u00e0 propos du prochain verdict \u00e9lectoral, Mohamed Ben Sma\u00efl, assureur, r\u00e9pond ce 15 janvier\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0J\u2019ai 93 ans, l\u2019\u00e2ge de BCE et nous avons \u00e9t\u00e9 camarades de classe. Avant d\u2019assurer plusieurs fonctions diplomatiques, j\u2019ai bien connu la colonisation. Ce n\u2019\u00e9tait pas la France qui d\u00e9tenait les r\u00eanes du pouvoir en Tunisie, mais le nomm\u00e9 Colona, un Corse leader des colons. La main rouge vient d\u2019eux et ils refusaient jusqu\u2019au bout, de quitter les fermes attaqu\u00e9es par nos maquisards, les fellagas.<\/em>
Farhat Hached savait que l\u2019\u00e9minence grise \u00e9tait Colona. Les ma\u00eetres du pays ont \u00e9t\u00e9 Colona, Bourguiba, Ben Ali et Ghannouchi. Ennahdha domine et elle en a pour l\u2019\u00e9ternit\u00e9. Je suis un fervent bourguibiste, mais les modernistes ne p\u00e8sent pas lourd devant les islamistes. Aux prochaines \u00e9lections, le raz-de-mar\u00e9e nahdhaoui ne fait aucun doute\u00a0\u00bb.<\/em>
Cependant, la d\u00e9nonciation, par Ennahdha, de la campagne m\u00e9diatique orchestr\u00e9e, dit-elle, contre elle en mati\u00e8re d\u2019assassinats politiques, fourbit une arme \u00e0 double tranchant. D\u2019une part, elle assure l\u2019autod\u00e9fense et, de l\u2019autre, elle contribue encore davantage, \u00e0 braquer les feux de la rampe sur la culpabilit\u00e9 affirm\u00e9e par le collectif. \u00ab\u00a0C\u2019est la poule qui chante qui pond l\u2019\u0153uf\u00a0\u00bb.<\/em>
Par ailleurs, \u00e0 l\u2019or\u00e9e du verdict rapproch\u00e9, divers commentateurs mentionnent les rangs serr\u00e9s des salafistes et la dispersion des progressistes.
Cependant, charg\u00e9 de l\u2019affaire Brahmi-Bela\u00efd, le juge d\u2019instruction accuse Mustapha Khedher de meurtre avec pr\u00e9m\u00e9ditation. Selon l\u2019avocate Najet Ya\u00e2coubi, membre du collectif de d\u00e9fense, les documents saisis dans la chambre noire du minist\u00e8re de l\u2019Int\u00e9rieur prouvent l\u2019accusation. Pour elle et l\u2019avocat Ridha Raddaoui, les proc\u00e8s verbaux impliquent Ennahdha et son organisation secr\u00e8te. Quel serait l\u2019effet de pareilles affirmations sur l\u2019issue des \u00e9lections\u00a0? Les d\u00e9mocrates escomptent une incidence d\u00e9favorable.
Comment voter pour les gens de Ghannouchi si la justice confirme les mani\u00e8res meurtri\u00e8res d\u00e9nonc\u00e9es par les avocats du Front populaire\u00a0?
Ce point de vue pourrait rec\u00e9ler une part de v\u00e9rit\u00e9. Cependant, il bute sur une observation. Le scandale d\u00e9nonc\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale n\u2019a gu\u00e8re emp\u00each\u00e9 les coupeurs de t\u00eates mal islamis\u00e9es de pers\u00e9v\u00e9rer. Les esp\u00e8ces, diverses, de Fr\u00e8res musulmans ne divorcent pas, pour si peu, avec leurs convictions. Bien des si\u00e8cles avant, ces nouveaux coureurs apr\u00e8s le califat, la succession des \u00e9liminations, d\u00e8s le d\u00e9c\u00e8s du proph\u00e8te, illustre l\u2019alliance du sang vers\u00e9 avec les croyances. Pour cette raison, la mise en difficult\u00e9 d\u2019Ennahdha lors des prochaines \u00e9lections ne va pas de soi.
Commanditer l\u2019assassinat, selon les avocats, ne suffit pas. Car les partisans de l\u2019option chara\u00efque inscrivent par pertes et profits l\u2019affaire Bela\u00efd-Brahmi. Pour les deux groupes \u00e0 distance, mis en comp\u00e9tition, l\u2019\u00e9preuve des \u00e9lections \u00e9tablira la concordance ou la discordance entre le degr\u00e9 de performance et le niveau d\u2019aspiration.
Pareille d\u00e9marche convie le ton de l\u2019analyse et cong\u00e9die celui de l\u2019opinion.
De nouveau interview\u00e9 avec mes cinq informateurs pro nahdhaouis, Youssef Hsoumi exprime le point de vue pr\u00e9vu\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0Bela\u00efd et Brahmi sont partis depuis longtemps, que Dieu leur pardonne\u00a0! Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 quand nos adversaires vont-ils continuer \u00e0 mastiquer la m\u00eame p\u00e2te \u00e0 m\u00e2cher pour d\u00e9tourner l\u2019attention des probl\u00e8mes pos\u00e9s au pays\u00a0? Comme elle a gagn\u00e9 les Municipales, Ennahdha remportera les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives et pr\u00e9sidentielle\u00a0\u00bb<\/em>. Tout pr\u00e8s de l\u00e0, Hayet Hached, tenanci\u00e8re de la boutique d\u00e9nomm\u00e9e la Mazra\u00e2, confirme ces dires\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0Autour de moi, tous ces marchands sont euphoriques et pr\u00e9disent le succ\u00e8s d\u2019Ennahdha. Ils refusent d\u2019\u00e9couter les accusations port\u00e9es contre lui. C\u2019est malheureux mais c\u2019est comme \u00e7a\u00a0\u00bb.<\/em>
Selon mes interview\u00e9s, choisis en connaissance de cause, l\u2019\u00e9tau resserr\u00e9 sur les ouailles de Ghannouchi qui, aujourd\u2019hui, contre-attaque, n\u2019aurait pas l\u2019incidence rumin\u00e9e par les partisans d\u2019une libre pens\u00e9e. Au cas o\u00f9 ils seraient d\u00e9asppoint\u00e9s, ils se d\u00e9couvriraient dans la situation d\u2019\u00e9trangers \u00e0 leur soci\u00e9t\u00e9. \u00ab\u00a0Hizb Fransa\u00a0\u00bb, <\/em>accusait Ghannouchi le fut\u00e9. Avec le patinage sur le sacr\u00e9, sans cesse revivifi\u00e9 par les innombrables mosqu\u00e9es, on ne badine jamais.
Certes, il appartient aux probabilistes attitr\u00e9s de jongler avec les probabilit\u00e9s, mais il vaut mieux pr\u00e9voir le pass\u00e9 ou le pr\u00e9sent av\u00e9r\u00e9. La r\u00e8gle vaut pour les \u00e9conomistes, nargu\u00e9s par la reine Elisabeth. L\u2019issue de l\u2019actuelle comp\u00e9tition d\u00e9pend du rapport de force et non de qui a tort et de qui a raison.
Le rejet du qamis et le d\u00e9go\u00fbt de l\u2019inquisition ne suffisent gu\u00e8re pour gagner les \u00e9lections. D\u00e9j\u00e0, les effectifs bien plus nombreux des salafistes venus manifester sur l\u2019avenue Bourguiba, pr\u00e9figurent l\u2019allure, in\u00e9gale, du combat.
Pour les vaincus, Tajri arriyahou bima la tachtahi assoufounou.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Interview\u00e9 \u00e0 propos du prochain verdict \u00e9lectoral, Mohamed Ben Sma\u00efl, assureur, r\u00e9pond ce 15 janvier\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0J\u2019ai 93 ans, l\u2019\u00e2ge de BCE et nous avons \u00e9t\u00e9 camarades de classe. Avant d\u2019assurer…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":127920,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-137461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinions"],"yoast_head":"\nLa comp\u00e9tition au seuil des \u00e9lections - R\u00e9alit\u00e9s Magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Interview\u00e9 \u00e0 propos du prochain verdict \u00e9lectoral, Mohamed Ben Sma\u00efl, assureur, r\u00e9pond ce 15 janvier\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0J\u2019ai 93 ans, l\u2019\u00e2ge de BCE et nous avons \u00e9t\u00e9\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/la-competition-au-seuil-des-elections\/amp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La comp\u00e9tition au seuil des \u00e9lections - 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