{"id":169199,"date":"2020-03-26T11:13:52","date_gmt":"2020-03-26T10:13:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/?p=169199"},"modified":"2020-03-26T11:13:52","modified_gmt":"2020-03-26T10:13:52","slug":"coronakrach-leconomie-mondiale-mise-a-larret","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/coronakrach-leconomie-mondiale-mise-a-larret\/","title":{"rendered":"Coronakrach : L’\u00e9conomie mondiale mise \u00e0 l’arr\u00eat"},"content":{"rendered":"
Apr\u00e8s la Chine, l’Europe et les Etats-Unis sont frapp\u00e9s de plein fouet par des chutes d’activit\u00e9 de 15% \u00e0 40% du PIB, les plongeant dans une crise in\u00e9dite. La riposte des gouvernants et banquiers centraux est de faire pleuvoir les milliards pour limiter la casse. En esp\u00e9rant qu’il ne faudra pas tenir plus d’un ou deux mois avant de sortir de l’\u00e9tat d’urgence sanitaire. Sinon \u00e7a fera tr\u00e8s mal.<\/div>\n
Attention, r\u00e9cession de nature inconnue. Avec pr\u00e8s de 50 pays et plus de 2 milliards de personnes confin\u00e9s pour tenter d\u2019enrayer la propagation du coronavirus, voil\u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale d\u2019un coup quasi mise \u00e0 l\u2019arr\u00eat.<\/div>\n
Les march\u00e9s boursiers et de mati\u00e8re premi\u00e8re ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9viss\u00e9 de plus de 30% depuis mi-f\u00e9vrier. Affol\u00e9s, les \u00e9conomistes ne savent plus \u00e0 quelle crise de l\u2019histoire du capitalisme comparer. La plupart estiment d\u00e9j\u00e0 que le \u00ab coronakrach \u00bb sera plus d\u00e9vastateur que celle de 2008, surnomm\u00e9e la Grande R\u00e9cession tant l\u2019ajustement fut s\u00e9v\u00e8re et durable. \u00ab Le choc est si violent qu\u2019il faut plut\u00f4t le rapprocher de l\u2019impact d\u2019une guerre mondiale ou de 1929 \u00bb (appel\u00e9e la Grande D\u00e9pression), jugeait ainsi lundi 24 mars Bruno Le Maire, qui a act\u00e9 il y a une semaine un recul du PIB de 1% en France pour 2020 – d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9pass\u00e9 car consid\u00e9r\u00e9 encore trop rose- l\u00e0 o\u00f9 il pr\u00e9voyait, avant, une croissance de 1,3%. Mais d\u2019autres experts sont moins pessimistes : et si cette contraction s\u2019av\u00e9rait certes la plus rude mais aussi la plus br\u00e8ve de l\u2019histoire moderne, rel\u00e9guant \u00e0 la rentr\u00e9e de septembre cette pand\u00e9mie sanitaire et ses dommages \u00e9conomiques au rang de mauvais cauchemar?<\/div>\n
\u00ab Face \u00e0 une pand\u00e9mie, nos mod\u00e8les de simulation sont cass\u00e9s et c\u2019est le brouillard total, reconnait S\u00e9bastien Jean, directeur du CEPII, centre d’\u00e9tude en \u00e9conomie internationale. Le confinement durera-t-il un mois ou plus ? Sera-t-il suffisant ou en faudra-t-il d\u2019autres pour arriver \u00e0 une immunit\u00e9 collective ? Et apr\u00e8s y aura-t-il une reprise g\u00e9n\u00e9rale ou faut-il s\u2019attendre \u00e0 un d\u00e9calage entre pays selon qu\u2019ils arriveront chacun plus ou moins \u00e0 juguler l\u2019infection ? Les r\u00e9ponses d\u00e9pendent de la situation sanitaire, alors que cette question de dur\u00e9e est cruciale pour d\u00e9terminer l\u2019ampleur du choc \u00e9conomique. \u00bb<\/div>\n
(Challenges)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Apr\u00e8s la Chine, l’Europe et les Etats-Unis sont frapp\u00e9s de plein fouet par des chutes d’activit\u00e9 de 15% \u00e0 40% du PIB, les plongeant dans une crise in\u00e9dite. La riposte…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":169202,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-169199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde"],"yoast_head":"\nCoronakrach : L'\u00e9conomie mondiale mise \u00e0 l'arr\u00eat - R\u00e9alit\u00e9s Magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Apr\u00e8s la Chine, l'Europe et les Etats-Unis sont frapp\u00e9s de plein fouet par des chutes d'activit\u00e9 de 15% \u00e0 40% du PIB, les plongeant dans une crise\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/coronakrach-leconomie-mondiale-mise-a-larret\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Coronakrach : L'\u00e9conomie mondiale mise \u00e0 l'arr\u00eat - 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