{"id":174383,"date":"2020-04-25T19:06:38","date_gmt":"2020-04-25T18:06:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/?p=174383"},"modified":"2020-04-25T19:06:38","modified_gmt":"2020-04-25T18:06:38","slug":"de-nouveaux-confinements-apres-le-11-mai-en-france","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/de-nouveaux-confinements-apres-le-11-mai-en-france\/","title":{"rendered":"De nouveaux confinements apr\u00e8s le 11 mai en France ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>Alors que l\u2019on ne sait pas encore \u00e0 quoi ressemblera exactement le d\u00e9confinement en France \u00e0 partir du 11 mai prochain, le \u201cstop and go\u201d serait l\u2019une des solutions envisag\u00e9es par l\u2019ex\u00e9cutif. Explications.<\/div>\n<div>\u00c0 l\u2019approche du 11 mai, date pour le moment annonc\u00e9e pour le d\u00e9but du d\u00e9confinement, le gouvernement fran\u00e7ais \u00e9tudie de nombreuses possibilit\u00e9s. L\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une deuxi\u00e8me vague comme en Chine ou d\u2019autres pays d\u2019Asie n\u2019est ainsi pas exclue par l\u2019ex\u00e9cutif, conscient qu\u2019elle sera m\u00eame tr\u00e8s difficile \u00e0 \u00e9viter.<\/div>\n<div>Lors d\u2019une conf\u00e9rence de presse, Edouard Philippe avait annonc\u00e9 que les Fran\u00e7ais ne retrouveront \u201cprobablement pas avant longtemps leur vie d\u2019avant\u201d la crise du coronavirus.<\/div>\n<div>Un d\u00e9confinement lent et progressif devrait donc \u00eatre mis en place \u00e0 partir du 11 mai, mais la piste d\u2019un reconfinement n\u2019est pas exclue non plus.<\/div>\n<div>Mercredi, on apprenait par Sybeth Ndiaye, porte-parole du gouvernement, que le reconfinement faisait \u201cpartie des hypoth\u00e8ses, notamment si des clusters se d\u00e9veloppent dans certains territoires\u201d et qu\u2019il fallait que les Fran\u00e7ais \u201capprennent \u00e0 vivre avec le virus\u201d.<\/div>\n<div>Le \u201cstop and go\u201d semble donc envisag\u00e9e par le gouvernement. Il s\u2019agit d\u2019une strat\u00e9gie mise au point par le tr\u00e8s reconnu \u00e9pid\u00e9miologiste britannique Neil Ferguson, qui consiste \u00e0 alterner les phases de confinement et d\u00e9confinement en fonction du nombre hebdomadaire d\u2019admissions en r\u00e9animation.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><strong>*Alterner confinement et d\u00e9confinement \u00e0 7 reprises<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>\u00c0 partir du 11 mai et la r\u00e9ouverture de certains commerces et de certaines \u00e9coles, le virus risque de se propager \u00e0 nouveau dans la population, ce qui donnerait lieu \u00e0 un rebond \u00e9pid\u00e9mique. Au-dessus d\u2019un certain nombre d\u2019hospitalisations, les mesures de distanciation sociale seraient r\u00e9activ\u00e9es, mais une fois en dessous de ce nombre, elles seraient supprim\u00e9es. Cette strat\u00e9gie permet donc d\u2019\u00e9viter la saturation des h\u00f4pitaux en limitant les contacts entre les individus lors des p\u00e9riodes de confinement. De plus, l\u2019impact sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie serait moindre gr\u00e2ce aux p\u00e9riodes de d\u00e9confinement durant lesquelles les activit\u00e9s reprendraient.<\/div>\n<div>Des mesures de confinement et de distanciation sociale pourraient donc \u00e0 nouveau \u00eatre d\u00e9cr\u00e9t\u00e9es mais potentiellement sur des courtes dur\u00e9es. En revanche, il faudra se montrer patient pour que cette strat\u00e9gie s\u2019annonce payante. Neil Ferguson estime qu&rsquo;il faudrait alterner \u00e0 sept reprises confinement et d\u00e9confinement avant de faire totalement dispara\u00eetre le virus, voir m\u00eame l\u2019appliquer jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la d\u00e9couverte d\u2019un vaccin.<\/div>\n<div>Si cette solution semble envisag\u00e9e par le gouvernement fran\u00e7ais, elle ne fait pas l\u2019unanimit\u00e9. Interrog\u00e9 par LCI, Martin Blachier, m\u00e9decin de sant\u00e9 publique estime que cette th\u00e9orie n&rsquo;est \u201cpas tr\u00e8s s\u00e9rieuse\u201d. \u201cIl faut plut\u00f4t ma\u00eetriser la courbe \u00e9pid\u00e9mique avec des mesures barri\u00e8res assez strictes au d\u00e9part\u201d, avant qu\u2019elles ne soient \u00e9ventuellement assouplies par la suite, selon lui.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alors que l\u2019on ne sait pas encore \u00e0 quoi ressemblera exactement le d\u00e9confinement en France \u00e0 partir du 11 mai prochain, le \u201cstop and go\u201d serait l\u2019une des solutions envisag\u00e9es&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":174384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-174383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-monde"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>De nouveaux confinements apr\u00e8s le 11 mai en France ? 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