{"id":181138,"date":"2020-06-09T18:04:55","date_gmt":"2020-06-09T17:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/?p=181138"},"modified":"2020-06-09T23:15:53","modified_gmt":"2020-06-09T22:15:53","slug":"ces-competences-qui-ont-predit-le-1-euro-pour-3-tnd-et-que-lon-a-pourtant-ecartees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/ces-competences-qui-ont-predit-le-1-euro-pour-3-tnd-et-que-lon-a-pourtant-ecartees\/","title":{"rendered":"Ces comp\u00e9tences qui ont pr\u00e9dit le \u00ab\u00a01 euro pour 3 TND\u00a0\u00bb et que l’on a pourtant \u00e9cart\u00e9es…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Qui a cru que l’euro vaudra, un jour, plus du triple du dinar tunisien ? Aujourd’hui, selon les donn\u00e9es de la BCT (Banque Centrale de Tunisie), le ratio est de 3,21 dinars pour 1 euro (8 juin 2020). Impensable il y a \u00e0 peine deux ans et impensable avant 2011. Aujourd’hui, si l’on atteint un ratio de 3 dinars pour 1 euro, on affirme qu’il s’agit d’une baisse encourageante et on s’estime heureux. Or, cela n’a rien d’exceptionnel et ce taux de changes reste tr\u00e8s \u00e9lev\u00e9 et p\u00e9nalisant pour l’\u00e9conomie tunisienne, sachant qu’avant 2011, nous \u00e9tions \u00e0 1,9 dinars pour 1 euro.
\nPourtant, plusieurs \u00e9conomistes ont mis en garde contre la d\u00e9pr\u00e9ciation vertigineuse du dinar face aux monnaies de nos principaux partenaires \u00e9conomiques. L’ancienne ministre des Finances, Lamia Zribi – qui est une comp\u00e9tence incontestable -, a elle-m\u00eame \u00e9voqu\u00e9 la probabilit\u00e9 d’un ratio euro-dinar de 1 pour 3. On se souvient du toll\u00e9 que cela avait provoqu\u00e9 \u00e0 l’\u00e9poque. C’\u00e9tait ce que les d\u00e9tracteurs de l’ancienne ministre attendaient pour la faire tomber, et c’est exactement ce qui \u00e9tait arriv\u00e9 : la ministre a \u00e9t\u00e9 limog\u00e9e<\/a> peu de temps apr\u00e8s ses d\u00e9clarations pourtant vraies et qu’elles n’avait pas formul\u00e9es \u00e0 la l\u00e9g\u00e8re.
\nD’autres personnes, moins connues que Lamia Zribi, ont fait part de leurs inqui\u00e9tudes au sujet de l’\u00e9volution du dinar tunisien. C’est l’exemple de Chokri Mamoghli, universitaire tunisien, qui avait lui aussi pr\u00e9dit un ratio euro-dinar de 1 pour 3. C’\u00e9tait en 2017, une \u00e9poque – si lointaine ! – o\u00f9 1 euro \u00e9quivalait \u00e0 2,450 dinars. \u00ab\u00a0Ce qui est grave, c\u2019est que cette \u00e9volution ne risque pas de s\u2019arr\u00eater et il est fortement probable, vu l\u2019ampleur des d\u00e9ficits et des \u00e9ch\u00e9ances de remboursement de la dette \u00e9trang\u00e8re qui nous attendent \u00e0 partir de 2017, que le cours de l\u2019euro soit aux alentours de 3 dinars l\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine.\u00a0\u00bb<\/em>, avait-il \u00e9crit dans un article publi\u00e9 sur Wepost Mag<\/a> en 2017…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Qui a cru que l’euro vaudra, un jour, plus du triple du dinar tunisien ? Aujourd’hui, selon les donn\u00e9es de la BCT (Banque Centrale de Tunisie), le ratio est de…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":63,"featured_media":138387,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-181138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie"],"yoast_head":"\nCes comp\u00e9tences qui ont pr\u00e9dit le "1 euro pour 3 TND" et que l'on a pourtant \u00e9cart\u00e9es... - R\u00e9alit\u00e9s Magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Qui a cru que l'euro vaudra, un jour, plus du triple du dinar tunisien ? 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