{"id":20340,"date":"2014-11-10T08:00:01","date_gmt":"2014-11-10T07:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/?p=20340"},"modified":"2014-11-10T08:00:01","modified_gmt":"2014-11-10T07:00:01","slug":"dossier-10-idees-pour-comprendre-les-resultats-des-legislatives-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/dossier-10-idees-pour-comprendre-les-resultats-des-legislatives-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Dossier: 10 id\u00e9es pour comprendre les r\u00e9sultats des l\u00e9gislatives"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: right;\">\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/wp-content\/uploads\/t\u00e9l\u00e9chargement182.jpg\" data-rel=\"penci-gallery-image-content\" ><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"t\u00e9l\u00e9chargement\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-20356\" height=\"150\" src=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/wp-content\/uploads\/t\u00e9l\u00e9chargement182.jpg\" width=\"168\" \/><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Par Chawki Gadd&egrave;s&nbsp;<\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<strong>Analyse d&eacute;taill&eacute;e des r&eacute;sultats: E<strong>quilibres politiques, &eacute;volutions possibles, enjeux de la g&eacute;ographie &eacute;lectorale, morphologie des pouvoirs&hellip;<\/strong><\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<span style=\"line-height: 1.6em;\">Une semaine apr&egrave;s le jour du scrutin historique et trois jours seulement apr&egrave;s l&rsquo;obtention des r&eacute;sultats chiffr&eacute;s, le sp&eacute;cialiste en droit &eacute;lectoral et expert des processus &eacute;lectoraux, Chawki Gadd&egrave;s, se fixe ici pour t&acirc;che de d&eacute;cortiquer, &agrave; chaud, les chiffres issus du scrutin. C&rsquo;est l&agrave; un travail de statisticien doubl&eacute; de celui de juriste qui est loin d&rsquo;&ecirc;tre ais&eacute;, mais qui s&rsquo;av&egrave;re n&eacute;cessaire afin d&rsquo;&eacute;valuer la qualit&eacute; du processus &eacute;lectoral et d&rsquo;essayer de pr&eacute;voir l&rsquo;&eacute;volution du syst&egrave;me politique.<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\tNous essayerons d&rsquo;&eacute;clairer le lecteur &agrave; travers des axes de l&rsquo;&eacute;tude qui s&rsquo;articulent autour de la r&eacute;ponse aux questionnements suivants&nbsp;:\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n\t\tQuels r&eacute;sultats globaux des &eacute;lections en termes de si&egrave;ges&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuel nombre de voix ont &eacute;t&eacute; obtenus par les listes&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuels effets de l&rsquo;absence de seuil sur le mode de scrutin&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuelle r&eacute;partition des deux p&ocirc;les politiques sur la carte politique&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuelle repr&eacute;sentation du genre dans l&rsquo;Assembl&eacute;e &eacute;lue&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuel taux de participation des Tunisiens aux &eacute;lections&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuelles sont les proportions des votes blancs et nuls&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuelle est la proportion des votes non utiles&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuelle valeur en termes de voix&nbsp;poss&egrave;dent les si&egrave;ges &agrave; l&rsquo;Assembl&eacute;e&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<li>\n\t\tQuelle morphologie des pouvoirs d&eacute;coulera du r&eacute;sultat de ces &eacute;lections&nbsp;?\n\t<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n\tLa r&eacute;ponse &agrave; ces questions nous permettra de tirer des conclusions qui permettront d&rsquo;am&eacute;liorer le processus &eacute;lectoral en agissant principalement sur le cadre juridique. C&rsquo;est la t&acirc;che qui revient dans les syst&egrave;mes d&eacute;mocratiques &agrave; l&rsquo;organe de gestion &eacute;lectorale, l&rsquo;ISIE en Tunisie, qui s&rsquo;attache apr&egrave;s chaque &eacute;ch&eacute;ance &agrave; &eacute;valuer et &agrave; proposer des r&eacute;visions de nature l&eacute;gislatives.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-les-resultats-des-elections-en-termes-de-sieges\/\"><strong>I. Les r&eacute;sultats des &eacute;lections en termes de si&egrave;ges<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-les-quatre-strates-du-nombre-de-voix-obtenues-par-les-differentes-listes\/\"><strong>2. Les quatre strates du nombre de voix obtenues par les diff&eacute;rentes listes<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-absence-du-seuil-dans-la-proportionnelle-avec-les-plus-grands-restes-developpant-le-nombre-des-listes-candidates\/\"><strong>3. Absence du seuil dans la proportionnelle avec les plus grands restes d&eacute;veloppant le nombre des listes candidates&nbsp;<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-la-presence-geographique-des-deux-formations-leaders\/\"><strong>4. La pr&eacute;sence g&eacute;ographique des deux formations leaders<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-representation-du-genre-ne-repondant-pas-a-lorientation-constitutionnelle\/\"><strong>5. Repr&eacute;sentation du genre ne r&eacute;pondant pas &agrave; l&rsquo;orientation constitutionnelle<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-taux-de-participation-variable-et-en-net-recul-par-rapport-a-celui-de-2011\/\"><strong>6. Taux de participation variable et en net recul par rapport &agrave; celui de 2011<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-une-proportion-importante-de-votes-blancs-et-nuls\/\"><strong>7. Une proportion importante de votes blancs et nuls&nbsp;<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-une-offre-electorale-conduisant-au-maintien-de-limportance-des-votes-non-utiles\/\"><strong>8. Une offre &eacute;lectorale conduisant au maintien de l&rsquo;importance des votes non utiles<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-des-bonus-causent-une-grande-difference-dans-les-valeurs-des-sieges-a-lassemblee\/\"><strong>9. Des bonus causent une grande diff&eacute;rence dans les valeurs des si&egrave;ges &agrave; l&rsquo;Assembl&eacute;e<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.realites.com.tn\/2014\/11\/06\/legislatives-quelle-morphologie-du-paysage-politique-a-la-lumiere-des-resultats-des-premieres-elections\/\"><strong>10. Pour conclure, quelle morphologie du paysage politique &agrave; la lumi&egrave;re des r&eacute;sultats des premi&egrave;res &eacute;lections&nbsp;?<\/strong><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\">\n\t<strong style=\"font-size: 13px; line-height: 20.7999992370605px; text-align: right;\">Chawki Gadd&egrave;s<\/strong>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;\n<\/p>\n<p>\n\t&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; Par Chawki Gadd&egrave;s&nbsp; Analyse d&eacute;taill&eacute;e des r&eacute;sultats: Equilibres politiques, &eacute;volutions possibles, enjeux de la g&eacute;ographie &eacute;lectorale, morphologie des pouvoirs&hellip; Une semaine apr&egrave;s le jour du scrutin historique et&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":20356,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-politique"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dossier: 10 id\u00e9es pour comprendre les r\u00e9sultats des l\u00e9gislatives  - R\u00e9alit\u00e9s Magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"&nbsp; 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