{"id":301620,"date":"2023-10-08T11:03:15","date_gmt":"2023-10-08T10:03:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/?p=301620"},"modified":"2023-10-08T11:03:15","modified_gmt":"2023-10-08T10:03:15","slug":"un-equilibre-budgetaire-precaire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/un-equilibre-budgetaire-precaire\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00a0Un \u00e9quilibre budg\u00e9taire pr\u00e9caire"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"

Par Amine Ben Gamra*<\/p><\/div>\n

L\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des d\u00e9penses \u00e0 un rythme (10% par an) d\u00e9passant d\u2019un point l\u2019augmentation des recettes propres (9% par an) entra\u00eene d\u2019importantes r\u00e9percussions aussi bien sur le solde primaire, le solde budg\u00e9taire que sur la dette publique durant la p\u00e9riode 2011-2022.
\nLe d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire par rapport au PIB passe d\u2019une moyenne de 2,3 % durant la p\u00e9riode 2000- 2010 \u00e0 5,7% durant la p\u00e9riode 2011-2022. Au cours de cette derni\u00e8re p\u00e9riode, la grave crise sanitaire qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 v\u00e9cue par la Tunisie et les difficult\u00e9s endur\u00e9es quant aux chocs ext\u00e9rieurs et aux al\u00e9as, dont notamment le conflit russo-ukrainien et la s\u00e9cheresse, \u00e0 l\u2019instar de la communaut\u00e9 internationale, ont entra\u00een\u00e9 un important rebondissement du d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire.
\nLe taux d\u2019endettement par rapport au PIB s\u2019en trouve fortement augment\u00e9, passant de 39% en 2010 \u00e0 80% en 2022.
\nLa masse salariale a atteint 22 milliards de dinars en 2022, soit 49% des revenus du budget de l\u2019\u00c9tat, contre 6,7 milliards en 2010.<\/p>\n

Boucler le budget de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023
\n<\/strong>Si la Tunisie a tir\u00e9 un trait sur le pr\u00eat du\u00a0FMI (un cr\u00e9dit de 1,9 milliard de dollars),\u00a0l\u00e0 aussi, personne dans le gouvernement ne semble avoir la moindre id\u00e9e sur les possibilit\u00e9s dont dispose le pays pour combler son trou budg\u00e9taire et boucler cette longue, tr\u00e8s longue ann\u00e9e 2023.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e9parer le budget de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2024
\n<\/strong>Le plus dur sera sans doute de pr\u00e9parer le budget de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2024. Avec un endettement qui a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les 80% par rapport au PIB, des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat qui ne cessent de grimper et ce n\u2019est pas fini,\u00a0l\u2019\u00e9tau risque d\u2019\u00eatre de plus en plus serr\u00e9.
\nAu niveau des recettes fiscales, l\u2019assiette se trouve affect\u00e9e par le repli de la croissance amenant les autorit\u00e9s publiques \u00e0 relever les taux d\u2019imposition et \u00e0 augmenter par voie de cons\u00e9quence, la pression fiscale sur le secteur organis\u00e9, augmentant davantage l\u2019attrait du march\u00e9 parall\u00e8le qui prend une dimension pr\u00e9occupante.
\nReste \u00e0 savoir quels imp\u00f4ts pourraient venir combler ce trou. Cela va passer par la chasse aux niches fiscales ou par la cr\u00e9ation de nouvelles petites taxes de rendements limit\u00e9s.
\nIl est recommand\u00e9 l\u2019encouragement de la mise \u00e0 la retraite avant l\u2019\u00e2ge l\u00e9gal, en s\u2019abstenant de remplacer les postes laiss\u00e9s vacants.
\nIl est \u00e9galement recommand\u00e9 d\u2019encourager les cong\u00e9s et les mises en disponibilit\u00e9 des fonctionnaires en vue de la cr\u00e9ation de projets \u00e9conomiques propres.
\nAussi, il est grand temps d\u2019\u0153uvrer \u00e0 l\u2019am\u00e9lioration du climat des affaires et au r\u00e9tablissement de la confiance chez les partenaires et les investisseurs afin d\u2019atteindre le carr\u00e9 magique : croissance forte, solde commercial exc\u00e9dentaire, stabilit\u00e9 des prix et plein emploi.<\/p>\n

*Expert-comptable<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Commissaire aux comptes<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des d\u00e9penses \u00e0 un rythme (10% par an) d\u00e9passant d\u2019un point l\u2019augmentation des recettes propres (9% par an) entra\u00eene d\u2019importantes r\u00e9percussions aussi bien sur le solde primaire, le solde…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":131049,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-301620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinions"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00a0Un \u00e9quilibre budg\u00e9taire pr\u00e9caire - R\u00e9alit\u00e9s Magazine<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des d\u00e9penses \u00e0 un rythme (10% par an) d\u00e9passant d\u2019un point l\u2019augmentation des recettes propres (9% par an) entra\u00eene d\u2019importantes\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/realites.com.tn\/fr\/un-equilibre-budgetaire-precaire\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00a0Un \u00e9quilibre budg\u00e9taire pr\u00e9caire - 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